Critical Thinking

Chapter 5 - Root Cause 2.0

Using the Five Whys of Critical Thinking

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Rules of performing 5 Whys

 

  1. Write down the problem and make sure that all people understand it.
  2. Distinguish causes from symptoms.
  3. Pay attention to the logic of cause-and-effect relationship.
  4. Try to make your answers precise.
  5. Look for the cause step by step. Don't jump to conclusions.
  6. Base your statements on facts and knowledge.
  7. Assess the process, not people.
  8. Never leave "human error", "worker's inattention", "blame John", etc. as the root cause.
  9. Foster an atmosphere of trust and sincerity.
  10. When you form the answer to the question "Why?" it should be from the customer's point of view.

Edited from Source: Wikipedia (https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/5_Whys)

Use the 5 whys of critical thinking

by Mike Figliolo

Use the 5 whys of critical thinking text

One of the most effective critical thinking tools I've ever come across is the five why's. When I was a young analyst as a consultant, I was at a client engagement and I was responsible for doing a lot of analysis. One morning, I did a bunch of analysis around some things that my client was purchasing. When I went to lunch with my project manager, he said "what have you been doing today?" I said, "well, I was doing the analysis "on this one category of spend." He said "Okay, what'd you learn?" I said "well, I think this is happening." He said "Okay, well, why?" "What do you mean why?" "Well, why is that happening? "Why do you think that's happening?" I said "I don't know, maybe it's this." He said "Okay, well, why?" "What do you mean why?" "Well, why would that be happening?" I stopped and I thought and I said "well it might be this." He said "well, why?" I said "Oh my gosh, what's with the why's?" He said "Mike, our job is to come to insights "for our client. "we can't be satisfied with that first answer. "we need to ask why and really understand cause." "By the time you ask the fourth or the fifth why, "that's where the real insight is. "That's why it's the five why's." I took that away from that day and anytime I was working on analysis, from that point forward, I would ask why. Why am I seeing the numbers do this and why is that happening and why is that happening? Asking those five why's will lead you to insight. Let me offer an example. Let's say you're working with a senior executive and that senior executive says "hey, our stock price just plummeted." Okay, well why? Why did that happen? "Well, we missed our earnings." Okay, well, why did that happen? "Well, because we were discounting our prices too much." Okay, well, why were we doing that? "Well, because we wanted to retain our customers, "so we were offering bigger discounts." Okay, well, why are we trying to retain customers with discounts? "Well, because we want to grow market share." Okay, well, why do we want to grow market share? "Well, because that's what the incentive plan is tied to "for all our managers and business unit presidents. "The bigger the share, the bigger the bonus they get." Well, what happens if we change the incentive plan? If we had just stopped at "hey, the stock price fell, "and it's because we missed earnings "because we were discounting", there's no real insight there. When we keep asking why and peeling it back, we can identify what that true root cause is. Then we can solve it. Then we can have an impact on the organization. The fifth why is where that real insight resides. As you look at a problem you're dealing with, when you see that issue, ask yourself why it's happening, and ask why again and again and again. By the time you get to that fourth or fifth why, hopefully a new insight will pop out and you'll be able to start solving the real problem that will have a true impact on the organization.

"One of the most effective critical thinking tools I've ever come across is the five why's."
"By the time you ask the fourth or the fifth why, "that's where the real insight is."
"As you look at a problem...ask yourself why it's happening, and ask why again and again and again."

How to Find Root Causes

by Mike Figliolo

How to Find Root Causes text

The final thing you should think about, as you're trying to define your problem, is causality. I've mentioned thinking about causes and consequences. That applies to thinking through how you're going to define the problem in the first place. You should understand, are some elements of the problem you're trying to solve derived from other problems, or other related elements? How does this problem tie to other issues in your organization? What's the real root cause of the problem? Remember, we don't want to solve symptoms, this is about solving the right problem the first time around. So, solving this really means solving that much deeper, or proceeding problem. The more you can get to the root, the more effective you're going to be in preventing future problems in the organization. Once you've solved it, and you've come up with that recommendation, think forward about these consequences. Are there organizational, customer, competitor repercussions to anticipate? If you make this change, how will everybody else behave? Are you really clear about chronology, and what causes what, causes what? Laying out that path that says, if I do this, then this might happen, then this might happen, is going to help you predict some of the outcomes that you could face, and if those might be bad outcomes, it can impact the type of recommendation you make in the first place, to be able to avoid those issues down the road. Understanding those causes, and then the effects of your recommendation, is going to help you solve the real problem, and avoid unintended consequences. Tying to my example, when we were changing agency commissions, as a collections organization, we understood that the real issue was incentives weren't aligned. We had two teams working on this issue. One team was my team, and we were trying to drive overall collections performance. The other team that was involved was the agency management team. What that team was trying to drive was a very different set of metrics, in terms of reducing the amount of money that we were spending with those particular agencies. Those goals were in conflict, so a way that we got past that was, we created one single team with one clear objective that would help both of our organizations succeed. Now, our recommendation was to change the commissions we were going to pay these agencies. By paying them more money, we were going to get them to focus more on our work, versus our competitors work, that they were also being outsourced. Now, this would be great in the short term. Those agencies would change their performance, dedicate more of their efforts to our work, and a side benefit was, they would ignore our competitors, but let's think about the repercussions, and we said, if we make that change, well I'm pretty sure our competitors are going to make similar changes as soon as they find out what we've done, and then it really became a race to the bottom on pricing. So, if we raised the commissions, our competitors would raise the commissions, and we'd have to raise them, and they'd raise them, so we needed to make sure whatever solution we came up with would be able to avoid those types of consequences. This critical thinking time helped us come up with a better recommendation that met the needs of all the stakeholders involved, and helped us avoid some downstream negative consequences. For a problem you're solving, spend that time thinking about causality. What's the real cause of the issue? What are the consequences you might face? And then, document those thoughts in your problem statement so you keep them top of mind as you're coming up with your recommendations.

"You should understand, are some elements of the problem you're trying to solve derived from other problems, or other related elements?"
"How does this problem tie to other issues in your organization?"
"For a problem you're solving, spend that time thinking about causality. What's the real cause of the issue?"

Define the Problem Correctly

by Todd Dewett

Define the Problem Correctly text

For any decision bigger than, hey, where are we going to lunch, the very first step in the decision-making process is correctly defining the problem. You have to consciously ask yourself, what's the real issue here? Your goal is to find the root cause. But far too often we're busy and stressed out. And we attack a problem without being as thoughtful as we should be. Without addressing the root cause you're really only dealing with the symptoms of the problem. Of course, that means you're not really solving the issue. And it will persist as a problem. To find the root cause sometimes it's helpful to ask the question, why, several times. Let me give you an example. Let's say you have an employee whose performance is off. You've noticed that his work has been late several times in the past month. But in the past that has never been an issue. There are several common reactions to the scenario. You might fire off an email or two to ensure the employee understands that you're concerned. Or maybe you stop by and tell them to get focused and meet their deadlines. After a few actions like these you might even formally write them up and add the reprimand to their personal file. But these are not the best reactions. You see, it's very likely that the work being late is not the problem, it's just a symptom. So inside your mind start asking why, why is the work late? Is the employee somehow unsuited for the task? Did the nature of the work change? Are there resource issues? Maybe there's some form of conflict you're unaware of that explains the situation, who knows? After thinking it through it's time to talk to the employee. Do it in private to show respect. Be clear and to the point. Ask about the problem, and don't assume you know the answer. You have to make the person comfortable enough to answer honestly so you can understand what's going on. For example, maybe they confide in you that they're ill. Or maybe they're distracted since they're caring for a family member. Or maybe they're just bored with their role. Who knows, there are many possibilities. Your goal is to discover the root cause because you can't help until you do. It is true that in high performing teams performance issues are often ironed out internally by the team without you intervening. But many times it's you who has to step in and help someone return to being productive. Your odds of doing that successfully go up significantly when you start by defining the problem correctly. You can start right now. Just think of your most persistent recurring problem. Then, start asking, why? With a little persistence you'll find the root cause. And then you have a real shot at solving the problem.

"You have to consciously ask yourself, what's the real issue here? Your goal is to find the root cause."
"Without addressing the root cause you're really only dealing with the symptoms of the problem."

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